Tag Archives: HP Labs

Twitter Predictions: the future is just 140 characters away

Posted on by Ville Miettinen

… questions, Twitter can even predict the future.

Movies, moods and markets

A 2010 study by HP Labs demonstrated that the “tweet-rate” of pre-released movies can accurately predict future ticket sales. Basically, the more mentions a movie gets on Twitter (positive or negative) the bigger the box-office success. Similar techniques have been used to successfully predict election outcomes in the UK and US, and (here’s the really crucial example) X-Factor and American Idol winners. …

Tags: business crowd crowdsourcing distributed work Hedge fund HP Labs Indiana University Lady Gaga microwork Pope Twitter Web 2.0

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Cracking the code: The crowd vs the virus

Posted on by Ville Miettinen

… big antivirus companies were stumped.

Nobody had the answers, until Igor Soumenkov of Kaspersky labs decided to call on the crowd for assistance. In a blog post, Soumenkov outlined the problem and provided samples of the virus code. Within hours a crowd was born, colonizing the comment thread and establishing a presence on Reddit.

The man with the golden crowd

Soumenkov’s crowd is a perfect example of the power of collective reasoning. Members quickly sifted through the code, …

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Google Ngrams: in the beginning was the word search

Posted on by Ville Miettinen

Long, long ago, before Android, G+ and self-driving cars , Google had one simple mission: to organize the world’s information and make it universally accessible and easy to use .

Nowadays, the big-friendly-search-giant sometimes seems more interested in irritating Mark Zuckerberg than promoting universal knowledge. But, just occasionally, Google gets back to basics.

Tags: Android crowd crowdsourcing google Google Labs Harvard University Mark Zuckerberg microwork Million Book Project new york times TED


Crowd Labs Incorporated

Posted on by Ville Miettinen

The history of experimenting on humans doesn’t have what you’d call a spotless reputation. Google it, and you get Nazis, CIA mind control, and conspiracy theories about Guantanamo Bay and Ritalin. And that’s just in the first ten hits.

Given its unpleasant past, crowdsourced workers might, at first, be less than enthusiastic about their growing popularity as subjects …

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How to lose friends and predict epidemics

Posted on by Tommaso De Benetti

… political views.

Everything you know is old

Today, the best way to predict epidemics is with labs (or analysis nodes), which report the incidence of certain conditions to a central database. One or two weeks later we find out at what stage the epidemic was the day the information was collected.

According to Christakis and Fowler there is a better way. Epidemics don’t spread randomly amongst a population. If we want to get an early warning of an epidemic or even forecast it, the key …

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